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Sean Rima | All | CRYPTO-GRAM, May 15, 2025 |
May 15, 2025 12:39 PM * |
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assed in Porto Alegre, Brazil, in 2023. It was a local ordinance about water meter replacement. Council member Ramiro Rosário was simply looking for help in generating and articulating ideas for solving a policy problem, and ChatGPT did well enough that the bill passed unanimously. We approve of AI assisting humans in this manner, although Rosário should have disclosed that the bill was written by AI before it was voted on. Brazil was a harbinger but hardly unique. In recent years, there has been a steady stream of attention-seeking politicians at the local and national level introducing bills that they promote as being drafted by AI or letting AI write their speeches for them or even vocalize them in the chamber. The Emirati proposal is different from those examples in important ways. It promises to be more systemic and less of a one-off stunt. The UAE has promised to spend more than $3 billion to transform into an "AI-native" government by 2027. Time will tell if it is also different in being more hype than reality. Rather than being a true first, the UAE's announcement is emblematic of a much wider global trend of legislative bodies integrating AI assistive tools for legislative research, drafting, translation, data processing, and much more. Individual lawmakers have begun turning to AI drafting tools as they traditionally have relied on staffers, interns, or lobbyists. The French government has gone so far as to train its own AI model to assist with legislative tasks. Even asking AI to comprehensively review and update legislation would not be a first. In 2020, the U.S. state of Ohio began using AI to do wholesale revision of its administrative law. AI's speed is potentially a good match to this kind of large-scale editorial project; the state's then-lieutenant governor, Jon Husted, claims it was successful in eliminating 2.2 million words' worth of unnecessary regulation from Ohio's code. Now a U.S. senator, Husted has recently proposed to take the same approach to U.S. federal law, with an ideological bent promoting AI as a tool for systematic deregulation. The dangers of confabulation and inhumanity -- while legitimate -- aren't really what makes the potential of AI-generated law novel. Humans make mistakes when writing law, too. Recall that a single typo in a 900-page law nearly brought down the massive U.S. health care reforms of the Affordable Care Act in 2015, before the Supreme Court excused the error. And, distressingly, the citizens and residents of nondemocratic states are already subject to arbitrary and often inhumane laws. (The UAE is a federation of monarchies without direct elections of legislators and with a poor record on political rights and civil liberties, as evaluated by Freedom House.) The primary concern with using AI in lawmaking is that it will be wielded as a tool by the powerful to advance their own interests. AI may not fundamentally change lawmaking, but its superhuman capabilities have the potential to exacerbate the risks of power concentration. AI, and technology generally, is often invoked by politicians to give their project a patina of objectivity and rationality, but it doesn't really do any such thing. As proposed, AI would simply give the UAE's hereditary rulers new tools to express, enact, and enforce their preferred policies. Mohammed's emphasis that a primary benefit of AI will be to make law faster is also misguided. The machine may write the text, but humans will still propose, debate, and vote on the legislation. Drafting is rarely the bottleneck in passing new law. What takes much longer is for humans to amend, horse-trade, and ultimately come to agreement on the content of that legislation -- even when that politicking is happening among a small group of monarchic elites. Rather than expeditiousness, the more important capability offered by AI is sophistication. AI has the potential to make law more complex, tailoring it to a multitude of different scenarios. The combination of AI's research and drafting speed makes it possible for it to outline legislation governing dozens, even thousands, of special cases for each proposed rule. But here again, this capability of AI opens the door for the powerful to have their way. AI's capacity to write complex law would allow the humans directing it to dictate their exacting policy preference for every special case. It could even embed those preferences surreptitiously. Since time immemorial, legislators have carved out legal loopholes to narrowly cater to special interests. AI will be a powerful tool for authoritarians, lobbyists, and other empowered interests to do this at a greater scale. AI can help automatically produce what political scientist Amy McKay has termed "microlegislation": loopholes that may be imperceptible to human readers on the page -- until their impact is realized in the real world. But AI can be constrained and directed to distribute power rather than concentrate it. For Emirati residents, the most intriguing possibility of the AI plan is the promise to introduce AI "interactive platforms" where the public can provide input to legislation. In experiments across locales as diverse as Kentucky, Massachusetts, France, Scotland, Taiwan, and many others, civil society within democracies are innovating and experimenting with ways to leverage AI to help listen to constituents and construct public policy in a way that best serves diverse stakeholders. If the UAE is going to build an AI-native government, it should do so for the purpose of empowering people and not machines. AI has real potential to improve deliberation and pluralism in policymaking, and Emirati residents should hold their government accountable to delivering on this promise. ** *** ***** ******* *********** ************* Since 1998, CRYPTO-GRAM has been a free monthly newsletter providing summaries, analyses, insights, and commentaries on security technology. To subscribe, or to read back issues, see Crypto-Gram's web page. You can also read these articles on my blog, Schneier on Security. Please feel free to forward CRYPTO-GRAM, in whole or in part, to colleagues and friends who will find it valuable. Permission is also granted to reprint CRYPTO-GRAM, as long as it is reprinted in its entirety. Bruce Schneier is an internationally renowned security technologist, called a security guru by the Economist. He is the author of over one dozen books -- including his latest, A Hacker’s Mind -- as well as hundreds of articles, essays, and academic papers. His newsletter and blog are read by over 250,000 people. Schneier is a fellow at the Berkman Klein Center for Internet & Society at Harvard University; a Lecturer in Public Policy at the Harvard Kennedy School; a board member of the Electronic Frontier Foundation, AccessNow, and the Tor Project; and an Advisory Board Member of the Electronic Privacy Information Center and VerifiedVoting.org. He is the Chief of Security Architecture at Inrupt, Inc. Copyright © 2025 by Bruce Schneier. ** *** ***** ******* *********** ************* --- BBBS/LiR v4.10 Toy-7 * Origin: TCOB1: https/binkd/telnet binkd.rima.ie (618:500/1) |
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