ABNT20 KNHC 281116
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Fay, located well to the southwest of the Azores.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL91):
An area of low pressure located well to the east-northeast of 
Bermuda is moving quickly eastward. Recent microwave imagery 
suggests the shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show 
signs of organization, though it is unclear if the system has 
developed a well-defined circulation given its fast forward motion. 
While environmental conditions are currently only marginally 
favorable, this system is now likely to become a tropical depression 
or storm over the next day or two as it turns east-southeastward and 
slows down over the central Subtropical Atlantic. Environmental 
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 
development later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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