ACUS02 KWNS 080532
SWODY2
SPC AC 080530

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 AM CDT Thu Oct 08 2026

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EXTREME
SOUTHERN ALABAMA...MOST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...

...SUMMARY...
A risk for tornadoes will develop across the northeastern Gulf
coastal areas late Friday into early Saturday ahead of Isaias.

...Northern Gulf Coast...
The latest NHC forecast track brings Isaias into southern Alabama
and the western Florida Panhandle Friday night and into early
Saturday morning, which places the most favorable tornado risk to
the east. While there is uncertainty regarding forward speed, the
mid 70s F dewpoints and therefore favorable instability will at
least move inland across the coastal counties of AL/FL Panhandle by
12Z Saturday (the end of the Day 2 period). 

Several CAMs are now resolving moderate to strong UH tracks,
especially over the western FL Panhandle. Model forecast soundings,
while somewhat variable in regard to the exact amount of
instability, all appear sufficient to support supercells with
tornado risk as shear and low-level ascent will both be favorable.
Supercells may become evident on radar over the Gulf, with tornado
threat increasing as cells move ashore and surface winds gain a
southerly component. As such, tornado probabilities have been
increased for Friday Night.

..Jewell.. 10/08/2026

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