MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

ACUS11 KWNS 301949
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301949 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-302145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0305
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0249 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...Southern Lower Michigan...Northwest Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

Valid 301949Z - 302145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...An organized line of storms with a history of 60-85 mph
wind gusts will continue into western Ohio and southern Lower
Michigan. Risk for damaging winds will continue with more
isolated/uncertain threats for large hail and tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...An organized line of fast-moving storms continues
northeastward through central/northern Indiana. Modest
destabilization continues ahead of this line into portions of
western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Given the organization of
this line, potential for severe/damaging gusts will remain even as
buoyancy tends to wane north and east. This line of storms has a
history of producing wind gusts of 60-85 mph. Damaging winds will
likely remain the primary risk. Isolated large hail could occur, but
storm mode will mitigate that risk. Likewise, storm mode is also not
optimal for tornadoes. Regional VAD winds and RAP forecast soundings
do suggest some QLCS tornado risk will exist, but this risk
diminishes with eastward extent. One or more watches will need to be
considered for portions of western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan by 21Z.

..Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   43028639 43558486 43568327 42948247 41978229 41118286
            40718387 40568459 40708483 40918493 43028639 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

$$
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