Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Oct 19 2026 - 00Z Wed Oct 21 2026

...Nor�easter moving north just off the Mid-Atlantic Coast will produce
rain showers along parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Coast through
Tuesday...

...Low pressure moving southward along the West Coast will develop
scattered rain over parts of California through Tuesday...

Low pressure off the North Carolina coast will slowly retrograde westward
towards the Mid-Atlantic Coast before moving eastward out over the
Atlantic by Tuesday evening. Moisture circulating around the low will
produce rain over parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Coast through
Tuesday.

The non-tropical area of low pressure will develop and intensify well off
the North Carolina coast early this week before slowly tracking north and
exiting the region by Thursday. As it strengthens, the storm will likely
bring long-duration coastal impacts to portions of the Mid-Atlantic,
especially for the North Carolina Outer Banks.

Persistent, strong onshore winds will bring moderate coastal flooding,
dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion, especially during high
tides, into mid-week from southern New Jersey through the North Carolina
coast. Moreover, the storm is likely to bring wind gusts in excess of 45
mph across the Outer Banks region and the Virginia Tidewater. Furthermore,
details on the magnitude and location of impacts are still evolving as
conditions deteriorate.  Check weather.gov regularly for the latest
updates.

Elsewhere, a second area of low pressure over the Eastern Pacific will
move southward along the West Coast, bringing scattered rain to parts of
the Northern California coast late Monday morning. Overnight Monday into
Tuesday, the rain will move southward to Central/Southern California with
scattered showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Central/Northern
Great Basin and Southwest. Lastly, a weak stationary front and easterly
flow off the Atlantic will produce scattered rain and embedded
thunderstorms over the eastern coast of Florida through Tuesday evening.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx...

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