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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur   August 10, 2025
 5:26 PM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 101736
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization
in association with a well-defined low pressure area located about
100 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Only a small increase in
the organization could lead to the formation of a tropical
depression before the low moves near or across the Cabo Verde
Islands tonight and on Monday.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible today and Monday across
the Cabo Verde Islands, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system.

Even if a tropical depression does not form over the next day or so,
environmental conditions appear very conducive for later
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
to form by the middle to latter portion of this week while moving
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central Atlantic (AL96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic.  Some gradual development is possible during the middle
part of this week while the system moves northward over the central
Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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