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From | To | Subject | Date/Time | |||
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Mike Powell | All | Flood Potential SC Coast |
August 11, 2025 8:34 AM * |
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AWUS01 KWNH 111239 FFGMPD SCZ000-111600- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0905 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 838 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025 Areas affected...Greater Charleston SC Metro Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 111237Z - 111600Z Summary...Heavy thunderstorms with hourly rainfall of 2 to 3 inches should continue to lift up the SC coast this morning. At the current pace, the heavy rates would impact Charleston near morning high tide which would enhance localized flooding. Discussion...A band of heavy thunderstorms is currently pushing inland and up the coast between Hilton Head Island and Charleston. This is being fed by 25kt Sly flow with PW still around 2.25" with a high instability gradient with 3000 J/kg just offshore per the RAP. Max hourly rainfall is estimated from KCLX in Charleston County south of the Charleston metro. As onshore flow persists this activity should persist along and just inland from the coast with a northward trend. This would place torrential rain over the Charleston metro near the 10a high tide which would enhanced the localized flooding risk. Furthermore, the 1hr FFG is generally around 2.5", so localized flash flooding is possible over the areas impacted by this heavy band. As of now the offshore component of the activity is somewhat disorganized and the cloud tops have recently begun a warming trend. However, given the high instability, redevelopment is possible which makes for a possible flash flood risk rest of the morning around the greater Charleston metro. Jackson ATTN...WFO...CHS... ATTN...RFC...ALR...NWC... LAT...LON 33338015 33027946 32607964 32478033 32798053 32988056 $$ --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1) |
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