ACUS02 KWNS 250504
SWODY2
SPC AC 250502

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to be low on Monday.

...Synopsis...

An upper shortwave trough initially over the southern/central High
Plains, will lift northeast to the Upper Midwest on Monday into
early Tuesday. Large-scale upper troughing will persist across the
western U.S. as a deepening cyclone and attendant shortwave trough
deepen and spread southeast over the Great Basin and Intermountain
West. Southerly low-level flow will maintain modest boundary layer
moisture across the southern Plains vicinity ahead of a cold front
progressing south/southeast across the central Plains and Mid-MO
Valley. 

Modest destabilization is forecast from southwest TX,
southern/eastern NM, portions of the OK/TX Panhandles, and far
southwest KS. Isolated thunderstorms may develop toward late
afternoon through evening. Effective shear around 25-30 kt could
support transient storm organization, but southwest flow below 500
mb is forecast to remain fairly weak. Furthermore, warmer midlevel
temperatures may hinder stronger updrafts despite modest
instability. While the strongest storms could produce small hail,
overall severe potential appears limited, precluding Level
1/Marginal risk probabilities.

..Leitman.. 10/25/2026

$$
--- MultiMail/DOS
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10)