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Mike Powell | All | HVYSNOW: Probabilistic Heavy Snow And Icing Discussion |
October 29, 2026 9:07 AM * |
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FOUS11 KWBC 290626 QPFHSD Probabilistic Heavy Snow and Icing Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 226 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026 Valid 12Z Thu Oct 29 2026 - 12Z Sun Nov 01 2026 ...Sierra Nevada into the Intermountain West & Four Corners... Day 3... Very deep upper level trough (<10th climatological percentile per the NAEFS) along with a southern shortwave ejecting out of the subtropical Eastern Pacific will interact along the West Coast by late Saturday into Sunday to surge ample moisture into the Southwest and Intermountain West. Snow levels are expected to remain rather high ahead of this system, starting out above 9,000-10,000 feet across the Southwest, Great Basin and central/southern Rockies before levels begin to drop around 8,000 feet and much lower across the northern Sierra and northern CA into the Northwest underneath the upper trough early Sunday, but these colder areas are expected to remain outside of the primary moisture transport. Additional mountain snow and eventually lowering snow levels are anticipated into the Day 4 period (by Monday morning). In general, the best chances (40-70%) for snowfall totals greater than 6 inches through early Sunday are anticipated to remain across the high terrain of the Sierra Nevada (above 9000 feet) and Sawtooths of ID (above 8500 feet), with heavier accumulations not expected across the mountainous terrain of UT and the central/northern Rockies until later into the weekend and early next week. The probability of significant ice across the CONUS is less than 10 percent. Snell $$ --- MultiMail/DOS * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (618:250/10) |
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