Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
258 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Valid 12Z Thu Nov 05 2026 - 12Z Sat Nov 07 2026

...Heavy rainfall shifts into the Eastern Seaboard...

The long advertised cold front extending across the Ohio Valley
continues an eastward track, and will spread showers and
thunderstorms into the Eastern Seaboard this morning. An uptick in
rainfall coverage is expected tomorrow over portions of the
Northeast and New England as moisture ramps up ahead of an
approaching upper-trough, which will drive an isolated to
scattered flash flood threat. Thunderstorm coverage should also
increase near the tail end of the front near South Texas, where
some heavy rainfall is possible going into the weekend. Meanwhile,
in the Northwest, an active storm track will lead a parade of
Pacific systems and soaking rains across the region beginning
tomorrow. This activity should largely be beneficial given the
prevailing drought conditions in the region.

Temperature wise, a pair of reinforcing cold fronts behind the main
boundary will send cooler than average temperatures southward over
portions of the Plains and Midwest. Ahead of this cool air,
unseasonably mild weather will prevail east of the Mississippi
River for the next day or two.

Asherman

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx...

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