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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic   December 6, 2024
 10:44 AM *  

ACUS02 KWNS 060636
SWODY2
SPC AC 060634

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms are likely across a large portion of Texas
on Saturday. No severe thunderstorms are expected.

...Synopsis...
A southern-stream upper low is forecast to begin the period over the
AZ/NM/Mexico border intersection vicinity before progressing
northeastward through the southern High Plains throughout the
period. Enhanced mid-level flow will accompany this low, spreading
eastward across the southern Plains. Low-level flow across the
southern Plains will also increase ahead of this system, resulting
in strengthening warm-air advection throughout the day.

Surface easterlies are expected across the Gulf of Mexico, but a
stationary boundary along the TX Coast will prevent inland
penetration of any notable low-level moisture. Even so, moderate
mid-level moisture and increasing large-scale lift ahead of the
approaching upper low will result in a large area of precipitation.
Cooling mid-level temperatures may help support modest buoyancy,
with isolated thunderstorms expected within the larger precipitation
shield. The probability of any severe thunderstorms is very low.

..Mosier.. 12/06/2024

$$
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