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Message   Mike Powell    All   Winter Mix GA/SC   January 10, 2025
 8:56 AM *  

ACUS11 KWNS 101350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101350 
SCZ000-GAZ000-101745-

Mesoscale Discussion 0031
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Areas affected...Northeast GA into parts of SC

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

Valid 101350Z - 101745Z

SUMMARY...Winter mixed precipitation may increase through the morning.

DISCUSSION...The eastern portion of an extensive precipitation
shield is currently spreading across northeast GA into parts of SC.
Evaporative cooling and saturation of an initially dry column (as
noted on the 12Z CHS sounding) will allow for some increase in
winter precipitation rates through the morning. As initial
saturation occurs, occasionally moderate snow and/or sleet rates may
develop (as noted in upstream observations), though there may be
some tendency toward a liquid precipitation phase and freezing-rain
potential with time and eastward extent, as warm advection above the
surface continues to increase. Some ice accretion will be possible
where near-surface cold/dry advection allows subfreezing
temperatures to persist through the remainder of the morning into
early afternoon.

..Dean.. 01/10/2025

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   34668331 34808306 34688236 34528157 34348095 34008018
            33807988 33497976 33217979 33068006 32968036 32938070
            32958118 32958170 32978217 32998271 33138340 33768294
            34668331 

$$
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