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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic   January 31, 2025
 9:36 AM *  

ACUS02 KWNS 310656
SWODY2
SPC AC 310654

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential across the United States appears low on Saturday.

...Discussion...
As an upper short-wave trough moves off the East Coast early in the
period, flow aloft will trend quasi-zonal across the U.S. through
Sunday morning.  Emanating from a low over the southwestern Canada
coast, several short-wave features are expected to eject eastward
across the northern U.S. within the evolving/fast westerly flow regime.

At the surface, a weak low is forecast to shift eastward across
southern Canada, as the aforementioned short-wave energy shifts
eastward.  A trailing cold front associated with this low will shift
southeastward across the northern Intermountain region through the
period.  Elsewhere, cold frontolysis will occur over the Florida
Peninsula, as trailing portion of the cold front crossing the
western Atlantic sags southward with time.

With largely cool/stable air across most of the country, little
thunder potential is evident.  A flash or two may occur across parts
of the northwestern U.S., within an area of showers across this
region.  A flash or two may occur offshore from Florida, but
lightning is not expected inland.  Overall, any lightning over the
U.S. should remain well below 10% coverage thresholds, and thus no
thunder areas will be included for this forecast.

..Goss.. 01/31/2025

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