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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic   February 6, 2025
 9:05 AM *  

ACUS02 KWNS 060659
SWODY2
SPC AC 060657

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2025

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Showers and a few lightning flashes will be possible Friday,
particularly across the high terrain of northern Utah and vicinity.

...Discussion...
Within the background quasi-zonal flow aloft across the U.S., a
short-wave trough is forecast to shift eastward out of the
northwestern U.S. across the Great Basin and northern Intermountain
region.  Quasigeostrophic ascent associated with this feature will
support scattered showers, with a few lightning flashes possible --
particularly across favored high-terrain areas of northern Utah and
surrounding areas.

The advance of the aforementioned upper system will support eastward
progression of a weak/associated surface low.  Late in the period,
the low should emerge into the northern Plains.  Meanwhile, farther
south, a persistent baroclinic zone will remain draped from Oklahoma
to the Carolinas through the period.  While isolated showers will be
possible in the vicinity of this front, weak instability should
preclude thunderstorm potential.

..Goss.. 02/06/2025

$$
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